Key takeaways
- Written December 2023, when Melbourne values had risen 4.5% from their trough to end-October 2023 after 12 consecutive rate rises.
- The recovery stalled. Melbourne has since been the weakest Australian capital, with values down 1.2% in the year to June 2026.
- The broadening upswing described here continued in Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide — but not in Melbourne.
- Rental demand has been the consistent performer throughout, with vacancy reaching 1.1% in October 2025.
- A useful reminder that a recovery visible in the data can reverse before it completes.
Property values are rising, but is this growth sustainable? Here's what you need to know.
The Melbourne property market has been through a lot in recent years, facing considerable headwinds such as the economic fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, 12 consecutive interest rate rises, and the lowest level of consumer confidence in decades.
However, it appears that the market has turned the corner, with Melbourne housing values rising by 4.5% from their recent trough to the end of October 2023.
While the pace of growth has started to slow in Sydney and Melbourne, property values are still rising in four out of five suburbs around the country, indicating that the property market upswing is broadening despite rising interest rates.
Factors Driving the Boom
One of the key factors driving the boom in Melbourne's property market is the return of immigration, which has led to an increase in demand for housing. Additionally, the pandemic has led to a reduction in household sizes, which has also increased demand for housing. Furthermore, the low-interest-rate environment has made borrowing more affordable, which has led to an increase in demand for property.
Potential Risks and Challenges
Despite the positive outlook for Melbourne's property market, there are still some potential risks and challenges that investors should be aware of. One of the biggest risks is the potential for rising interest rates, which could make borrowing more expensive and reduce demand for property. Additionally, there is a risk that the market could become overheated, leading to a correction in property values.
Outlook for the Future
Despite these risks, the outlook for Melbourne's property market remains positive. A-grade homes and investment-grade properties remain in strong demand and are likely to hold their values well. Furthermore, the return of immigration is expected to continue to drive demand for housing, which should support property values in the long term.
Practical Tips and Advice
If you are interested in taking advantage of the current market conditions in Melbourne, there are some practical tips and advice that you should keep in mind.
Firstly, it is important to do your research and understand the market conditions in the area where you are looking to buy. Additionally, it is important to work with a reputable real estate agent who has experience in the local market and can help you find the right property for your needs. Finally, it is important to act quickly and decisively, as the market is constantly changing and what you can afford today may not be available tomorrow.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the Melbourne property market is showing signs of a boom. While there are some potential risks and challenges, the outlook for the future remains positive, and there are practical tips and advice that investors can follow to take advantage of the current market conditions.
Don't miss out on this opportunity to invest in Melbourne's property market. Contact us today to discuss your options and find the perfect property for you.
Remember, the market is constantly changing, and what you can afford today may not be available tomorrow.
Act now and secure your future in Melbourne's booming property market.
Josh Tay