Tenants Are Fighting for Space: Melbourne’s Undersupplied Suburbs vs. Stabilizing CBD

Melbourne suburbs versus CBD for an overseas investor — vacancy, yields, and which one suits a foreign buyer's holding costs.

Tenants Are Fighting for Space: Melbourne’s Undersupplied Suburbs vs. Stabilizing CBD

Key takeaways

  • Melbourne vacancy was 1.8% in July 2025, against a national 1.2% — tight, and tighter still in the suburbs where it sat below 1%.
  • CBD vacancy fell to around 2.5%, the lowest since 2019, as the oversupplied inner-city market absorbed its excess.
  • Rents rose 3.8% year-on-year overall — houses 4.1%, units 3.3%.
  • Suburban and CBD stock behave differently: suburbs offer scarcity and stable tenants, the CBD offers yield and liquidity with more competition.
  • The financing picture has reversed since. The cash rate was 3.60% in August 2025; as at July 2026 it is 4.35% after three increases, so borrowing costs quoted here are no longer current.

If you’ve been watching Melbourne’s property market, you can already sense it, demand is heating up. Tenants are fighting for space, and the numbers prove it. Vacancy sits at just 1.8% in July 2025 (a bit higher than the national 1.2%, but still very tight). Rents keep rising too, +3.8% year-on-year overall, with houses climbing +4.1% and units up +3.3%.

Behind these numbers are families searching for stability, students needing a place close to campus, and professionals competing for fewer homes than the city can offer.

Suburbs are badly undersupplied. Even the CBD, which once had too many apartments, is now filling up again.

So what does this mean for you as an investor? It means low vacancy, strong rent, and a very rare chance to buy before prices move up again.

Australia's Reserve Bank Has Cut Rates Three Times This Year

At the start of 2025, interest rates in Australia were above 4.3%. Since then, the Reserve Bank of Australia has cut rates three times. The latest cut came this August, and now the base rate is 3.6%.

For you, this means:

  • Local buyers can now borrow at around 4.5%.
  • Foreign buyers (including Singaporeans) at around 5.5%.

Just months ago, foreigners were paying closer to 6.5%. That is a big saving, and it makes Melbourne property far more attractive.

Here’s my honest take: every cut makes Melbourne more affordable, but it also brings more buyers back. If you wait, you may find yourself paying more later.

Why Tenants Are Struggling

The numbers tell the story:

  • In the suburbs, vacancy is below 1%. That means almost every property gets rented quickly.
  • In the CBD, vacancy has dropped to around 2.5%, the lowest since 2019.

If you visit an open house, you’ll see 15–20 groups of tenants competing for one unit. Families are moving further out, students are back, and young professionals want to stay near the city.

For investors, this means:

✔️ Rents are rising

✔️ Units don’t sit empty

✔️ Your return is stronger and more secure

Suburbs or CBD: Where Is the Smarter Bet?

Both suburbs and the CBD are good, but they work in different ways:

Melbourne Rental Yield Comparison (Aug 2025)

LocationRental Yield Range (%)Vacancy Rate (%)Investor Note
CBD (Southbank, Docklands, La Trobe St)4.5 - 5.22.5High demand from students & young workers, improving yields
Inner Suburbs (South Melbourne, St Kilda Rd, West Melbourne)4.0 - 4.82.0Prestige and lifestyle appeal, steady capital growth
Middle-Ring Suburbs (Reservoir, Blackburn, Greensborough)3.8 - 4.51.0Family-friendly areas, low supply, stable tenants
Outer Growth Corridors (Kalkallo, Mickleham, Rowville)4.8 - 5.60.8Strong rent growth, perfect for long-term hold

I know you’re wondering: Okay, but what’s on the table?

Project LocationTypePrice (AUD)Why It matters
R. Iconic Townhouse – Final ReleaseSouth Melbourne3BR, 2Bath$2,562,750Rare townhouse living minutes from CBD. Final release = scarcity play.
188-192 Grimshaw StGreensborough1BR$687,900Entry-level Melbourne property. Vacancy almost zero in this pocket.
Stud Park ResidenceRowville2BR$716,000Family-friendly location, perfect for tenants priced out of CBD.
Cloverton EstateKalkallo3BR House$549,000Entry-level house & land. Growth corridor.
The Albertine by MirvacQueens Lane2BR, 2 Bath$1,630,000Prestigious location, Mirvac brand trust.
Aspire MelbourneCBD (King St)1BR + Study$612,500Stylish, central, high rental yield.
The Carter BuildingSt. Kilda Road3BR Penthouse$4,565,000Blue-chip luxury play. For investors who want trophy assets.
Botanical ApartmentsMicklehamFamily Apartment$557,900Growth suburb with long-term rental demand.
La Vue SinagraSinagra3 +1BR House$800,170Suburb Play

(Click for full listings and property projects)

My observation as your realtor: Melbourne’s inner-city units (La Trobe, Southbank, Docklands) are priced at levels still below their historical highs. That gives you built-in upside once migration numbers keep climbing. Suburbs are already stretched, if you wait, your entry price will be higher.

Why Global Investors (Especially Singaporeans) Love Melbourne Properties

Singaporeans have always had a soft spot for Melbourne.With rates easing, currency advantage, and Melbourne still undervalued compared to Sydney, the capital flow is shifting.

  • Melbourne’s median apartment price: $640,000.
  • Sydney’s: $825,000.
  • Perth’s: $560,000, but with less depth of international demand.

The gap means Melbourne offers both affordability and global liquidity.

Sydney is too expensive for many, Perth has less global demand, but Melbourne sits in the sweet spot, affordable, high demand, and always liquid when you need to sell.

Add to that:

  • World-class universities
  • Multicultural lifestyle
  • Strong retirement appeal

And you see why Singaporeans always come back to Melbourne.

Right now, you are standing at a rare point in time:

  • Rates are down.
  • Rents are strong.
  • Melbourne is still undervalued.
  • Stock is limited.

Investors who act now will lock in the best prices and properties. Those who wait will be left paying more or worse, unable to buy at all.

I can guide you get to the right property.

Connect with me now!

Josh Tay

Common questions

What is Melbourne's rental vacancy rate?

It was 1.8% in July 2025 and tightened to 1.1% by October 2025, the lowest in fifteen years. Suburban vacancy has run below 1%, while the CBD sits higher at around 2.5% — still its tightest since 2019.

Should I buy in the Melbourne suburbs or the CBD?

They solve different problems. Suburbs offer scarcity, longer tenancies and family tenants, but lower yields and less liquidity. The CBD offers higher yields, a deep student and professional tenant pool and easier resale to other investors, at the cost of competing with a lot of similar stock.

What interest rate do foreign buyers pay in Australia?

Non-residents typically borrow at a premium of around one percentage point over local rates, with larger deposits and fewer lenders. The figures quoted in this article date from August 2025 when the cash rate was 3.60%; it is 4.35% as at July 2026, so obtain a current quote rather than relying on published examples.

Is low vacancy a good reason to buy?

It is a good reason to expect your property to be tenanted and rents to hold. It is not by itself a reason to expect capital growth — Melbourne combined very low vacancy with falling values through 2026.

General information only — not financial, tax, legal or investment advice. Foreign investment rules, stamp duty and tax treatment change; verify with the relevant authority and your own advisers before acting.

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